Shanker Satyanath, Marshall Burke, Edward Miguel, John Dykema, and David Lobell
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 107, No. 25.
Reply to Sutton et al.: Relationship Between Temperature and Conflict is Robust
In a recent paper, we documented strong historical linkages between temperature and civil conflict in Africa. Sutton et al. raise two concerns with our findings: that the relationship between temperature and war is based on common trends and is therefore spurious, and that our model appears overly sensitive to small specification changes. Both concerns reflect a basic misunderstanding of the analysis.